William Reid

July 4, 2019 Chugwater, Wyoming Tornado

By William T. Reid

This was the second-to-last chase day for Tour 8, and the second-to-last chase day of the tour season for me.  The setup was looking pretty good for supercells (and perhaps even tornadic supercells) in the “upslope” regime of eastern Wyoming.  Upper-level winds were excellent, and moisture and sunshine on the high terrain meant great instability.  With dew points pushing 60F in and around the Cheyenne Ridge, where elevations are near 6000 feet, a chaser gets a warm and fuzzy feeling inside.  We started westward out of Valentine and aimed towards Scottsbluff…and probably west or southwest a little from there.  The CAMs (convection allowing models) were relatively consistent on predicting a good-sized supercell tracking eastward through the Chugwater area by 00Z or so.

After lunch in Scottsbluff, I was beginning to feel less certain about the prospects later on around there and in southeastern Wyoming.  The southern Nebraska Panhandle was still very cloudy and cool.  I need sunshine!  There would be no decent storm near here today, given this cool and stable air.  Ugh.  And, now the HRRR model seemed to be backing off some on its nice “Chugwater supercell” thinking.  The skies were still partly cloudy in southeastern Wyoming, so sunshine was not too big of an issue to our west.  But I figured that this cool low-level airmass that was moving westward into my target area would be detrimental.   I looked at other areas — the Palmer Divide; the Sandhills back in western Cherry County, where we had been just two hours ago.  The Palmer Divide had good moisture but so-so shear.  The western Cherry County play looked halfway decent.  I looked again at southeastern Wyoming.  Dew points of 60F and afternoon sunshine around Cheyenne — you just don’t walk away from that!  I decided to stick with Plan A.  Chris Gullikson supported that thinking.  I am glad that he was not too keen on straying somewhere else!  Chris mentioned that the cool and cloudy conditions in the southern Panhandle, which persisted well into the afternoon, could be beneficial as the impressive low-level moisture was not mixing out.  SPC also noted this in an afternoon mesoscale discussion.

We zigged and zagged to Chugwater, via Hawk Springs and Road 313.   A good-sized storm was near the mountains almost due west of Chugwater.  That was what we wanted!  The road network around here is lousy, though, so we plopped ourselves onto a high point along the dirt road some 4 or 5 miles west of Chugwater and waited for the storm to near us and Interstate 25. The updraft was maybe more than 30 miles distant, but we had some decent views.  Light anvil rain fell here, and soon the very low storm base came above the distant hills.

The storm moved ESE to east, so the base (and its action area) was eventually to our WSW.  An obvious funnel cloud protruded for a minute or so, and the storm became tornado-warned. Slowly, slowly, slowly, it approached I-25 and the area not too far to our southwest.  I was glad that we were on this storm, with the nice very clear skies to its east and southeast!  What was there to worry about?!  The easterly inflow was at least 15 knots, and the storm had great structure!

The base was to our southwest, and it was time to reposition.  We made our way east to I-25 and the southern edge of Chugwater.  Should I continue to the east a little, and get onto that nice plateau just to the east of Chiugwater?  That would be a pretty good area to monitor the supercell, to maintain a good look at its structure, and to stay with it as it continued east of I-25. I was thinking that this would be the most prudent maneuver.  But there was another play:  we could get ourselves south a little, get right in front of the storm base, and watch the storm as it moves right up to the interstate.  This second strategy was a bit risky, though.  Once the storm moved east of the Interstate here, we would be basically out of luck for a while as far as getting back into position just east of the storm.   The hail core would be between us and Road 313 eastbound out of Chugwater.  There was a chance that we might miss any “show” if the storm decided to go into tornado-mode a few miles east of I-25.

I decided to “go for the gold” and to head south from Chugwater.  The next exit was about 7 miles away. Would this be too far south?  Too far north still?  In 20 or 30 minutes, would I be behind the storm as it started to wrap up, just east of I-25, hiding big tornadoes from chasers on its west side?  That was a real possibility.  At our exit onto West Bear Creek Road, the storm was looking good.  The base was looking REALLY good!  I wanted to find a nice high spot for the group to watch, and drove west about 1.5 miles.  A few chase teams were about, a couple near I-25.  This was the place to be!  Our unpaved road, right on the southern border of Platte County (with Laramie County to the south), curved quickly up to splendid hilltop, with a perfect look at the storm base, just to our NW.  Yes!

The storm was very well-organized and low storm base.  The storm was just 3-5 miles west of I-25, and southwest of Chugwater by 9-10 miles.  Up to this point, the storm had produced only a brief tornado or funnel cloud.

No more than a few minutes after reaching this vantage point, the supercell decided that it was time.  A weird blob of precipitation materialized on the west side of a really low storm base. Quickly, curtains of precipitation were noted circling around a common center beneath the base. A large clear slot worked its way just to the south of this organized chaos.  We were on the southern fringe of the RFD surge, and mild west winds of 25-40 mph hit us, with the atomized rain, too.

If ever a storm was going to produce a tornado in the next minute or two, it was this one!  A funnel descended just to our north, maybe 1.5 to 2 miles away, and we had our first one for sure. Well, it didn’t condense all of the way to the ground, but I’ll take it!

The storm base drifted very slowly to the east, and I repositioned my tripod onto another nearby high point.  I was shooting wide-angle video with the 15mm lens, and shooting stills with the 70-200mm lens.  I also took occasional still images with the 15mm lens/Canon 6D.    The storm had paused briefly after that first funnel disappeared, and then a beefier tornado planted itself not too far from a ranch house and cultivated area to our NNE.

As this tornado lifted, I figured that it was time to reposition.  The action was to our NNE, and likely drifting away from us. “Be ready to roll in a minute or so,” I announced.  As often happens when I think it is time to move, the storm quickly sticks another tornado onto the ground.  This was the third tornado and longest-lived!  (Or, you can consider the entire unfolding event here as one intermittent tornado.  The same mesocyclone and storm base were responsible for it all.) About two miles away, a stout cone tornado sat more or less in the same spot for at least 7 minutes, right behind that same ranch house!

The RFD was cutting a massive swath into the updraft and updraft base, and our perspective towards the northeast was perfect for watching and documenting the entire lifespan of the tornado, from stout cone to slinky rope-out.

This was certainly a photogenic tornado, and we were very fortunate to be able to enjoy it from a perfect location, without any nuisances such as rain, lightning, low clouds, and strong wind. Thank goodness that I was not fiddling around at the same time east of Chugwater, or (egads) down near Limon or up in Cherry County!

Once the tornado roped out for good and permitted a reposition, we went back north on I-25 to Chugwater and east a mile or two.  The impressive updraft tower was to our southeast, and a hail core was to our east, along our road.

We went through the small hail and emerged in perfect position to see our storm quickly fizzle. But who cared?!  We had managed not to miss the show!

Other big storms were developing up beyond Wheatland a little.  We headed that way and watched a supercell or two come up to I-25.  These were not that impressive visually up until sunset, and we headed to the motel in Wheatland with our happy camera flash cards filled with tornado pictures.

 

 

Tornadoes in Southwest Iowa and Northwest Missouri

Tornadoes in Southwest Iowa and Northwest Missouri

Here are some quick-pics of the tornadoes observed near Shenandoah and Yorktown, Iowa, today…and the beefy meso between Hopkins, Missouri, and Bedford, Iowa…and the near sunset tornado south of Maryville, Missouri.  Dallas Raines is holding 4-inch hailstones SSW of Bedford, Iowa.

Evening Supercell East of Wichita, Kansas

Evening Supercell East of Wichita, Kansas

Not much was happening as the clock ticked past 5 and 6 p.m., and it was looking like a cap bust might be in the cards.  A perusal of the moisture convergence charts drew my attention towards the Wichita area.  Though the Emporia area still appeared to be a reasonable place to wait and hope, I rolled the dice and headed down the turnpike towards Wichita.

Tornadoes, Colorado to Wyoming to Nebraska

Tornadoes, Colorado to Wyoming to Nebraska

Today was Monday, June 12, and it was a rare “off day” for me and Tempest Tours.  Tour 5 had finished up the day prior, and Tour 6 would begin at 10 a.m. on Tuesday here in Denver.  Well, it was not a total off day for me, as I was busy getting the vans ready for the next tour.

Booker, Texas Nighttime Supercell

Booker, Texas Nighttime Supercell

I made my way to OKC on Tuesday, May 2, and with Bob C. and Bill S., rounded up five guests from Tour 1 and Tour 2 for a chase into northwestern OK.  We left OKC really late, at 5 p.m., but that was not too much of a problem as the upper-level support was late and nothing had developed yet.  I was hoping that the models which showed early evening development into extreme western OK would come to fruition.

Abilene and Chapman, Kansas Tornado

Abilene and Chapman, Kansas Tornado

The models that we looked at mid-morning were a bit weak and wishy-washy with regard to storm development near the surface low and down the dry line.  It is never fun to wake up and see a downgrade by SPC, but I did not necessarily disagree in this case.  I think I told the group that we would be playing the triple-point at the surface low.  The instability and shear would be excellent to our east and southeast later on, towards Salina, and we would just have to cross our fingers that the cap would not be too strong.

Woodward, Oklahoma Tornado

Woodward, Oklahoma Tornado

The look of the sky was not helping too much yet.  Chris was a little nervous about chasing south of I-40 in the eastern TX PH, where there had been flooding problems the previous evening.  I elected to stick with the NW OK target.  We were there, and on paper it was looking about as good as the southern play.  We went back north to Shattuck…and north to Laverne.  Deja vu!  Eventually some towers developed…yes!

Wray, Colorado Tornadoes

Wray, Colorado Tornadoes

After about another one-half mile, we stopped and got out to see a gigantic dust tube spinning rapidly just to our WSW, perhaps a half-mile away.  (CR 39 goes WSW-ENE here.)  The tornado moved rather methodically to the NNE, and we were able to watch without too much concern for our safety now!  I managed a bunch of stills and video — this tornado was quite strong and quite close and absolutely spectacular.  What a moment this was!

Fort Stockton, Texas Tornado

Fort Stockton, Texas Tornado

I made my way east on I-10 and, with the help of Chris, determined that the place to be by 2 or 3 p.m. was Fort Stockton, right on I-10 in Pecos County.  I arrived in town around 2 p.m., and clouds were starting to build above the sun-bathed desert landscape.  The Storm Prediction Center was not especially impressed with the setup today